Marketing strategy

The thinking the brief sits on: who the campaign is for, what research would prove it, where competitors leave room, which platforms do which job, and how traffic and conversions would be forecast and tested. Audience insights are framed as hypotheses with the method that would test them, because no real market data was gathered for a fictional brand.

Objective

Business goal
Grow holiday basket size: more shoppers buying the whole meal at Birchway instead of splitting it across stores.
Marketing goal
Make Birchway the first store people think of for the full holiday table, then turn that into store visits and online orders between Nov 16 and Dec 24.
Market and audience
English-speaking Canada (assumed for this exercise). Household grocery planners, 28 to 55, hosting at least one holiday meal, as set in the brief.

Audience

Three planning segments inside the brief’s audience. They are working hypotheses to validate with loyalty data or a short survey, not research findings.

  • The host

    Cooks the main holiday meal for 8 or more. Plans two to three weeks out and shops in one or two big trips.

    Needs
    Confidence that one store has everything, so nothing is forgotten.
    What moves them
    Checklists, quantities by guest count, the whole-table visual.
  • The contributor

    Brings one dish to someone else’s table. Decides late, often the same week.

    Needs
    A dish that looks made with care, without a long recipe.
    What moves them
    The lattice pie as a hero, short recipe Reels, store pickup.
  • The value planner

    Compares flyers and prices across stores before the big shop.

    Needs
    Proof that one trip does not cost more than three.
    What moves them
    Flyer and price messaging once legal supplies offers; bundle pages.

Market research

Each hypothesis, the free or platform tool that would test it, and the decision it feeds.

HypothesisHow to test itDecision it informs
Holiday table planning starts three to four weeks before December 25.Google Trends for “holiday dinner ideas” and “christmas dinner checklist”, Canada, last five years; Pinterest Trends for the same terms.Sets the flighting: planning content and search from mid November, conversion pressure in the last two weeks.
Shoppers search for quantities and checklists, not just recipes.Google Keyword Planner and search console data for question queries (“how much … for 8 people”).Makes a printable checklist the landing page’s main asset and the answer content for search and AI assistants.
Short recipe video drives more saves than static product shots for seasonal food.TikTok Creative Center and Meta Ad Library to review what category advertisers run; then an A/B test of Reel versus static on Birchway’s own account.Decides the split between the static adaptations and short video in social.
Store hours over the holidays are a top navigational question.Search console query report and store-locator analytics from previous Decembers.Holiday hours go in structured data and on the landing page, answer-first.

Competitor analysis

Four competitor types a mid-market grocer meets at the holidays. They are archetypes rather than named companies; a live audit would review each named competitor’s holiday ads in Meta Ad Library and their weekly flyers.

Competitor typeLikely holiday messageStrengthGap Birchway can own
Discount grocerLowest price on holiday staplesPrice perceptionLittle inspiration or planning help; the table is not the story.
Premium specialty grocerIndulgent, curated holiday foodQuality and giftingFeels like an extra trip, not the main shop.
Warehouse clubBulk for big gatheringsValue at volumeMembership barrier and big packs that do not suit small households.
Delivery app and meal kitsSkip the storeConvenienceDelivery slots sell out in late December; less sense of choosing your own produce.
Positioning map. Placement is a judgement from each archetype’s typical messaging, not measured perception.

Positioning

For household planners hosting the holidays, Birchway Market is the grocer that gathers the whole holiday table in one trip, because seasonal produce, baking basics and the centrepiece are planned together, in every aisle.

  • The whole table, one trip

    The single-minded message from the brief. Every asset shows a complete table, never one product.

  • Seasonal at its best

    Pears, clementines and cranberries as the visual cast. Freshness is shown, not claimed.

  • Planned for you

    Checklists, quantities and holiday hours do the work a host would otherwise do alone.

Proof points (offers, prices, ranges) come from brand and legal; none are invented here. The copy written against this positioning is in Copy and search.

Platform plan

Each platform gets one job and the KPI that judges it, so performance is read against the right goal: Pinterest is not failed for low sales, and DOOH is not judged on clicks it cannot get.

PlatformJobJudged onCreativePhase
PinterestPlanning, early intentSaves, outbound clicksSpot illustration and checklist pinsPlan
Google SearchCapture intentClick-through rate, cost per click, store-finder visitsResponsive search adsPlan to convert
Instagram and Facebook feedReach and considerationReach, frequency, link clicks1080 × 1080 and 1200 × 628Build
Stories and ReelsAttention, recipe videoThree-second views, completion rate, saves1080 × 1920Build
TikTokRecipe discoveryWatch time, saves, sharesShort recipe video, organic firstBuild
Programmatic displayFrequency and retargetingViewable impressions, click-through rateFour IAB sizes and the HTML5 bannerBuild to convert
Digital out-of-homeNear-store reminderImpressions; store visits via brand lift study1920 × 1080Convert
Email and appLoyal shoppers, last-minute listOpen rate, click rate, ordersFrieze header and spot modulesConvert
  1. Plan Nov 16 to 29

    Search and Pinterest lead with checklists and recipes. Social builds reach with the master.

  2. Build Nov 30 to Dec 13

    Peak social and display weight. Reels carry the pie recipe; display adds frequency.

  3. Convert Dec 14 to 24

    Retargeting, holiday hours, DOOH near stores and email to the loyal base.

Performance forecast

How much traffic the plan should drive, worked through from budget to conversions. Change the budget or scenario and every figure recalculates.

Scenario
Paid impressions
12,452,381
Clicks
67,777
Landing-page sessions
57,610
Conversions
2,108
ChannelSpendRate assumptionsImpressionsClicksConversions
Meta feed$24,000CPM $9, CTR 0.90%, CVR 3.0%2,666,66724,000612
Stories and Reels$16,000CPM $7, CTR 0.50%, CVR 2.5%2,285,71411,429243
Pinterest$10,000CPM $6, CTR 0.40%, CVR 3.5%1,666,6676,667198
Programmatic display$20,000CPM $4, CTR 0.15%, CVR 2.0%5,000,0007,500128
Google Search$20,000CPC $1.10, CVR 6.0%n/a18,182927
Digital out-of-home$10,000CPM $12, reach only833,333n/aBrand lift

Method. Impressions = spend ÷ CPM × 1,000. Clicks = impressions × CTR (search: spend ÷ CPC). Sessions = clicks × 85% arrival rate. Conversions = sessions × CVR, where a conversion is a store-finder visit, flyer view or online order start. Conservative and Stretch scale CTR and CVR by 0.75 and 1.25.

Illustrative forecast. The rates are placeholder planning assumptions to show the method, not benchmarks or results. A real plan replaces them with the account’s own historical rates.

Test plan

Three A/B tests in the first two weeks, one variable each, so budget can move to what works before the conversion phase.

TestABSuccess metricQuestion
HeadlineHome for the HolidaysThe whole table, one tripClick-through rate on Meta feedIs the campaign line or the benefit the stronger stopper?
FormatStatic 1080 × 1920Six-second recipe ReelCost per landing-page viewTests the video hypothesis before shifting budget.
CTAShop the holiday tableGet the checklistLanding-page conversion rateUtility versus shopping intent for the planning phase.